Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Beachwood
Tract 34029724000 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,662 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
34029724000 is a census tract in the Downtown area of South Toms River, NJ. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,662. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Ocean County average of 50.5%.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$101,466
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Beachwood and the region
Centroid at 39.9391, -74.2070 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Beachwood
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,019 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beachwood
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beachwood
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beachwood
6.0
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 281Total filings over 6 yrs
- 21.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.4%Peak (2018)
- 70Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 281 filings here across 6 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 32.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 22.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Ocean County average of 5.0 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029724000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029724000?
Census tract 34029724000 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029724000?
Median gross rent is $2,019/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029724000?
5.3% of residents in tract 34029724000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,662.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029724000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 75th, minority 67th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 34029724000 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029724000 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029724000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 281 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029724000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.99% of renter households, peaking at 32.4% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029724000 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029724000 compare to Beachwood overall?
Tract 34029724000 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Beachwood at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beachwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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