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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Cedar Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34029731002 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 4,248 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 34029731002 covers part of the Cedar Beach area of Ocean County, NJ, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,248. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.7/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 4% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,713
Renter share9.3%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$118,698

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cedar Beach
Moderate
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#1,718 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ocean County and the region

Centroid at 39.8845, -74.1418 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cedar Beach scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,023 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Cedar Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cedar Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 731002County: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 85Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 7.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2017)
  • 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297310022013: 14 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2014: 14 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 16 filings (7.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (7.43/100 renter HHs)2017: 17 filings (9.71/100 renter HHs)2018: 11 filings (6.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cedar Beach

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 85 evictions over 6 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0. Filings peaked in 2017 at 9.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent runs $2,023 a month.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029731002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029731002?

Census tract 34029731002 in the Cedar Beach neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029731002?

Median gross rent is $2,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029731002?

11.2% of residents in tract 34029731002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029731002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 50th, minority 28th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 34029731002 considered part of Cedar Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029731002 fall within Cedar Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029731002?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029731002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.27% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029731002 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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