Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Sunrise Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Forked River
Tract 34029732101 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 5,971 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 34029732101 covers part of the Sunrise Beach area of Ocean County, NJ, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,369
Renter share7.9%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$101,606
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forked River and the region
Centroid at 39.8556, -74.1601 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sunrise Beach scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forked River
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forked River
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forked River
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forked River
5.0
How Sunrise Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 131Total filings over 6 yrs
- 6.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2014)
- 14Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sunrise Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sunrise Beach
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Ocean County at 50.5%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened.
SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.1 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 131 evictions over 6 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 7.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029732101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029732101?
Census tract 34029732101 in the Sunrise Beach neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029732101?
Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029732101?
1.2% of residents in tract 34029732101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,971.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029732101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 9th, minority 20th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 34029732101 considered part of Sunrise Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029732101 fall within Sunrise Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029732101?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 131 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029732101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.03% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029732101 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029732101 compare to Forked River overall?
Tract 34029732101 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Forked River at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forked River; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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