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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Crosswinds Eviction Risk: Elevated , Barnegat

Tract 34029734002 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 6,717 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

34029734002 is a census tract in the Crosswinds area of Barnegat, NJ. It scores 6/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,717 residents. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Ocean County average of 50.5%.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 13% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,423
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$99,161

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Crosswinds
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Barnegat
Very High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
High
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#968 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Barnegat and the region

Centroid at 39.7623, -74.2001 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crosswinds scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Barnegat
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,886 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Barnegat
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Barnegat
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Barnegat
5.1

How Crosswinds compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crosswinds risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 734002Barnegat: 5.95.9Barnegatparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 541Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 14.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.2%Peak (2018)
  • 105Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297340022013: 97 filings (14.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 74 filings (11.31/100 renter HHs)2015: 96 filings (14.68/100 renter HHs)2016: 88 filings (15.22/100 renter HHs)2017: 81 filings (14.01/100 renter HHs)2018: 105 filings (18.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crosswinds

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.7/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Against the Ocean County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Court records carry 541 eviction filings across 6 observed years. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2018, when 18.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.7% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,886, close to the Barnegat average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029734002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029734002?

Census tract 34029734002 in the Crosswinds neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029734002?

Median gross rent is $1,886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029734002?

12.8% of residents in tract 34029734002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,717.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029734002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 16th, minority 18th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 34029734002 considered part of Crosswinds?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029734002 fall within Crosswinds (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029734002?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 541 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029734002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.70% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029734002 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029734002 compare to Barnegat overall?

Tract 34029734002 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Barnegat at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Barnegat; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Barnegat

Top eight tracts in Barnegat ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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