Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
The Oaks at Stafford Eviction Risk: Lower , Ocean Acres
Tract 34029735004 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 7,865 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 34029735004 covers part of the The Oaks at Stafford area of Ocean Acres, NJ, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,865. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units2,706
Renter share4.0%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$131,613
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ocean Acres and the region
Centroid at 39.7297, -74.2815 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Oaks at Stafford scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ocean Acres
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,165 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ocean Acres
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ocean Acres
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ocean Acres
5.8
How The Oaks at Stafford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Oaks at Stafford
83% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Ocean County average of 50.5%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Against the Ocean County average of 5.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,165, close to the Ocean Acres average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029735004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029735004?
Census tract 34029735004 in the The Oaks at Stafford neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029735004?
Median gross rent is $2,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029735004?
1.0% of residents in tract 34029735004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029735004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 19th, minority 20th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 34029735004 considered part of The Oaks at Stafford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029735004 fall within The Oaks at Stafford (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029735004 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029735004 compare to Ocean Acres overall?
Tract 34029735004 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Ocean Acres at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ocean Acres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ocean Acres
Top eight tracts in Ocean Acres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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