Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Lake Harbor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tuckerton
Tract 34029737000 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,582 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 34029737000 sits in the Holly Lake Harbor area of Tuckerton, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. It is home to 3,582 residents. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Ocean County average of 50.5%.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,691
Renter share31.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$78,934
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tuckerton and the region
Centroid at 39.5922, -74.3331 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Lake Harbor scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tuckerton
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,741 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckerton
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckerton
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckerton
6.5
How Holly Lake Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 310Total filings over 6 yrs
- 12.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.4%Peak (2013)
- 38Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.8%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Lake Harbor
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Ocean County average of 5.0.
SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 310 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,741 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Tuckerton commands.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 19.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $78,934. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029737000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029737000?
Census tract 34029737000 in the Holly Lake Harbor neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029737000?
Median gross rent is $1,741/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029737000?
6.9% of residents in tract 34029737000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,582.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029737000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 72th, minority 18th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 34029737000 considered part of Holly Lake Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029737000 fall within Holly Lake Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029737000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 310 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029737000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.22% of renter households, peaking at 19.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029737000 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029737000 compare to Tuckerton overall?
Tract 34029737000 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Tuckerton at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckerton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related