Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Packanack Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34031246103 · Passaic County, NJ · pop 6,584 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 34031246103 sits in the Packanack Lake area of Preakness, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 6,584 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,066
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$165,579
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Packanack Lake and the region
Centroid at 40.9399, -74.2397 · click any tract to drill in
Why Packanack Lake scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Packanack Lake
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,153 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Packanack Lake
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Packanack Lake
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Packanack Lake
4.5
How Packanack Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 249Total filings over 5 yrs
- 15.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.1%Peak (2014)
- 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Packanack Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Packanack Lake
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. It sits 2.2 points below the Passaic County average of 6.7.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 55% here against 49.2% across Passaic County.
The filing record is not thin: 249 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $2,153 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Preakness commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 19.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34031246103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34031246103?
Census tract 34031246103 in the Packanack Lake neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34031246103?
Median gross rent is $2,153/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34031246103?
1.0% of residents in tract 34031246103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,584.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34031246103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 41th, minority 34th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 34031246103 considered part of Packanack Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34031246103 fall within Packanack Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34031246103?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 249 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34031246103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.99% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34031246103 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34031246103 compare to Packanack Lake overall?
Tract 34031246103 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Packanack Lake at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Packanack Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Packanack Lake
Top eight tracts in Packanack Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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