Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 34039032200 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 34039032200 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,082
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34039032200 (Union, New Jersey) comes in at 6.6/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,536 monthly, set against $103,673 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,812
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$103,673
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union County and the region
Centroid at 40.7025, -74.2225 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 34039032200 scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,536 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 34039032200 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 84%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 424Total filings over 4 yrs
- 15.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.2%Peak (2016)
- 108Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.4%Housing insecurity
- 13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.9%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039032200
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 424 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 15.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.2% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039032200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032200?
Census tract 34039032200 in Union County scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039032200?
Median gross rent is $1,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032200?
11.8% of residents in tract 34039032200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,082.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 84th, minority 97th, housing 43th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039032200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 424 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039032200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.79% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039032200 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
Was tract 34039032200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related