Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 34039032401 Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34039032401 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,648
Tract 34039032401 sits in Union County, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. Population here is 3,648. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,416
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$86,700
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union County and the region
Centroid at 40.6924, -74.2322 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 34039032401 scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,085 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 34039032401 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 78%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.6%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039032401
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. It tracks the Union County average of 6.6 closely.
Average gross rent runs $2,085 a month. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $86,700. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039032401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032401?
Census tract 34039032401 in Union County scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039032401?
Median gross rent is $2,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032401?
8.7% of residents in tract 34039032401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,648.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 11th, minority 76th, housing 12th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 34039032401 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
Was tract 34039032401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related