Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 34039032902 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 34039032902 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,499
Tract 34039032902 covers Union in New Jersey. Home to 4,499 residents, it scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,184 monthly, set against $110,357 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,646
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$110,357
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union County and the region
Centroid at 40.7020, -74.2970 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 34039032902 scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,184 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 34039032902 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 12%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 45%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2013)
- 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039032902
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039032902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032902?
Census tract 34039032902 in Union County scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039032902?
Median gross rent is $2,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032902?
9.0% of residents in tract 34039032902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,499.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 25th, minority 64th, housing 18th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039032902?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039032902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039032902 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
Was tract 34039032902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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