Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Panther Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34041031302 ·
Warren County, NJ · pop 5,319 · 34% of tract blocks fall in Panther Valley
Tract 34041031302 sits in Panther Valley, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 5,319. Cost burden runs 62% here against 42.1% across Warren County.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 6%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,439
Renter share14.4%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$130,170
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Panther Valley
Moderate
Within county
50th percentile
#12 of 23 tracts In Warren County
Moderate
Within state
28th percentile
#1,575 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
53th percentile
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Panther Valley and the region
Centroid at 40.9187, -74.8290 · click any tract to drill in
Why Panther Valley scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Panther Valley
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,944 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Panther Valley
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Panther Valley
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Panther Valley
5.8
How Panther Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
16%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
39Total filings over 6 yrs
2.54%Avg annual filing rate
4.5%Peak (2015)
6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2013 to 2018
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.7%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
6.7%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
4.2%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
20.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Panther Valley
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The filing record is not thin: 39 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $130,170, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34041031302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34041031302?
Census tract 34041031302 in Panther Valley scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34041031302?
Median gross rent is $1,944/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34041031302?
3.7% of residents in tract 34041031302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,319.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34041031302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 7th, minority 25th, housing 5th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34041031302?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34041031302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.54% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34041031302 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34041031302 compare to Panther Valley overall?
Tract 34041031302 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Panther Valley at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Panther Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.