Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36027140302 · Dutchess County, NY · pop 2,654 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Arlington
In Arlington in Dutchess County, census tract 36027140302 scores 5.3/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,434 a month against an average household income of $99,881 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,192
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$99,881
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 41.6933, -73.9032 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,434 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
4.7
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 26%Grade B
- 42%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Dutchess County average of 5.7 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36027140302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36027140302?
Census tract 36027140302 in Arlington scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36027140302?
Median gross rent is $1,434/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36027140302?
6.7% of residents in tract 36027140302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,654.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36027140302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 28th, minority 68th, housing 88th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36027140302 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36027140302 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 36027140302 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 36027140302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related