Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
South Lake Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , University at Buffalo
Tract 36029009114 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,984 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The South Lake Village area of University at Buffalo anchors census tract 36029009114, which lands at 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 31st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 15% of renter households, a modest level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,250 monthly, set against $100,938 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,666
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$100,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across University at Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.9969, -78.7513 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lake Village scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University at Buffalo
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from University at Buffalo
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University at Buffalo
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from University at Buffalo
5.0
How South Lake Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lake Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lake Village
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University at Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029009114
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009114?
Census tract 36029009114 in the South Lake Village neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029009114?
Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009114?
3.3% of residents in tract 36029009114 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,984.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009114?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 60th, minority 33th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 36029009114 considered part of South Lake Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029009114 fall within South Lake Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029009114 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029009114 compare to University at Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029009114 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of University at Buffalo at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University at Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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