Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 36029009402 Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 36029009402 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,480

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 36029009402 in Erie ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,480 residents. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,389 a month against an average household income of $112,250 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 9% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units1,913

Renter share17.1%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate2.8%

Median income$112,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie County and the region

Centroid at 42.9686, -78.7714 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 36029009402 scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

State baseline

7.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

2.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,389 rent vs county FMR

6.8

Rent control risk

State baseline

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

State baseline

4.0

Housing court bias

State baseline

5.0

How Tract 36029009402 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
31%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

20%Grade A
2%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.9%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
5.7%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
3.9%Transit barriers
3.2%No health insurance
12.1%Frequent mental distress
18.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 36029009402

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New York eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029009402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009402?

Census tract 36029009402 in Erie County scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029009402?

Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009402?

2.8% of residents in tract 36029009402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,480.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 31th, minority 27th, housing 31th.

What share of households in tract 36029009402 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Was tract 36029009402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.