Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Eviction Risk: Lower , Buffalo
Tract 36029009501 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,990 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 36029009501 runs through Kensington in Buffalo. With 4,990 residents, it scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It lands near the 25th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
14% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $913 monthly, set against $130,396 in average yearly household income, roughly 8% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,971
Renter share5.8%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$130,396
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.9554, -78.7961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
4.8
How Kensington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 71%Grade A
- 29%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kensington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 3.2%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 17.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029009501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009501?
Census tract 36029009501 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029009501?
Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009501?
6.7% of residents in tract 36029009501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,990.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 60th, minority 31th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 36029009501 considered part of Kensington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029009501 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029009501 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029009501 compare to Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029009501 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36029009501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo
Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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