Kensington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Buffalo

It sits 2.3 points below the Erie County average of 6.8. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.2% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10.

Rent consumes only 8% of average household income of $130,396, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 3.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.