Cobbs Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Brighton

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.2% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10. Against average income of $114,539, annual rent is just 11%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Monroe County average of 7.2 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.