Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Gardnertown Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36071010400 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,935 · 59% of tract blocks fall in Gardnertown
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 36071010400 in Gardnertown, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,935. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.2/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,691
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$92,272
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gardnertown and the region
Centroid at 41.5115, -74.0600 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gardnertown scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gardnertown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,078 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardnertown
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardnertown
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardnertown
6.4
How Gardnertown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.0%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gardnertown
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10. Average gross rent is $2,078, 16% below the Gardnertown average. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Orange County average of 6.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $92,272.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071010400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071010400?
Census tract 36071010400 in Gardnertown scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071010400?
Median gross rent is $2,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071010400?
8.8% of residents in tract 36071010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071010400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 67th, minority 68th, housing 25th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36071010400 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36071010400 compare to Gardnertown overall?
Tract 36071010400 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gardnertown at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardnertown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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