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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36071010502 · Orange County, NY · pop 4,824

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 36071010502 in Orange Lake, NY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,824. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 5% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,869
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$105,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Orange Lake
Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 92 tracts In Orange County
Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#4,554 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very Low
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange Lake and the region

Centroid at 41.5444, -74.0940 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Lake scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orange Lake
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,266 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange Lake
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange Lake
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange Lake
4.8

How Orange Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0105026.0Orange Lakeparent city6.7Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Lake

The clearest offset is economic stress at 2/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Orange County average of 6.7. The voucher gap is 18.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Against Orange County at 49.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.9/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,266, close to the Orange Lake average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $105,804.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36071010502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071010502?

Census tract 36071010502 in Orange Lake scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36071010502?

Median gross rent is $2,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36071010502?

8.2% of residents in tract 36071010502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,824.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36071010502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 34th, minority 70th, housing 25th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36071010502 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36071010502 compare to Orange Lake overall?

Tract 36071010502 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Orange Lake at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange Lake

Top eight tracts in Orange Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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