Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Paradise Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Otisville
Tract 36071011500 ·
Orange County, NY · pop 6,549 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 36071011500 covers part of the Paradise Homes area of Otisville, NY, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,549 residents. Cost burden runs 34% here against 49.0% across Orange County.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 13%Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,094
Renter share19.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$95,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Paradise Homes
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Otisville
Moderate
Within county
44th percentile
#52 of 92 tracts In Orange County
Moderate
Within state
26th percentile
#4,018 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Otisville and the region
Centroid at 41.4563, -74.5270 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paradise Homes scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Otisville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$970 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Otisville
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Otisville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Otisville
7.0
How Paradise Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
47%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.3%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
8.5%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paradise Homes
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $970, 34% below the Otisville average.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 0.7 points below the Orange County average of 6.7. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $95,833, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071011500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071011500?
Census tract 36071011500 in the Paradise Homes neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071011500?
Median gross rent is $970/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071011500?
5.6% of residents in tract 36071011500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,549.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071011500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 38th, minority 56th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 36071011500 considered part of Paradise Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071011500 fall within Paradise Homes (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36071011500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36071011500 compare to Otisville overall?
Tract 36071011500 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Otisville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Otisville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.