Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Paradise Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Otisville
Tract 36071011500 · Orange County, NY · pop 6,549 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
In the Paradise Homes neighborhood of Otisville, census tract 36071011500 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $970 monthly, set against $95,833 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,094
Renter share19.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$95,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Otisville and the region
Centroid at 41.4563, -74.5270 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paradise Homes scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Otisville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$970 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Otisville
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Otisville
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Otisville
7.0
How Paradise Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paradise Homes
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Otisville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 6.0 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 36071011500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071011500?
Census tract 36071011500 in the Paradise Homes neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36071011500?
Median gross rent is $970/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36071011500?
5.6% of residents in tract 36071011500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,549.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36071011500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 38th, minority 56th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 36071011500 considered part of Paradise Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36071011500 fall within Paradise Homes (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36071011500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36071011500 compare to Otisville overall?
Tract 36071011500 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Otisville at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Otisville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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