Baywood Eviction Risk: Elevated

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $102,075, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The voucher gap is 22.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.6/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Average gross rent is $3,158, 17% above the Baywood average. It sits 1.0 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.2/10. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.