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Census Tract · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: High

Tract 36111951400 · Ulster County, NY · pop 3,756 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln Park

Tract 36111951400 sits in Lincoln Park, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.9/10. It is home to 3,756 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 19% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,723
Renter share50.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$68,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lincoln Park
Moderate
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 50 tracts In Ulster County
High
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#1,952 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,393 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Park and the region

Centroid at 41.9653, -73.9767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Park scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln Park
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,113 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln Park
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln Park
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln Park
5.9

How Lincoln Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.9This tracttract 9514007.6Lincoln Parkparent city6.7Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Park

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Against Ulster County at 48.7%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

It sits 2.2 points above the Ulster County average of 6.7. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.

At $1,113 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Lincoln Park commands. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.4/10. Nationally it ranks #4,393 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $68,906.

50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36111951400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36111951400?

Census tract 36111951400 in Lincoln Park scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36111951400?

Median gross rent is $1,113/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36111951400?

21.9% of residents in tract 36111951400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,756.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36111951400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 89th, minority 39th, housing 97th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36111951400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36111951400 compare to Lincoln Park overall?

Tract 36111951400 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln Park at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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