Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Gardiner Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36111954200 · Ulster County, NY · pop 5,629 · 11% of tract blocks fall in Gardiner
Tract 36111954200 sits in Gardiner, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. Population here is 5,629. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Ulster County average of 48.7%.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,218
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate50.8%
Median income$109,196
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gardiner and the region
Centroid at 41.6916, -74.1883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gardiner scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gardiner
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
50.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,517 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardiner
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardiner
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardiner
2.5
How Gardiner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.0%Food insecurity
- 27.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gardiner
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 51%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10. SNAP participation runs 27.9% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.
Against the Ulster County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. At $1,517 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Gardiner commands. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $109,196, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36111954200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36111954200?
Census tract 36111954200 in Gardiner scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36111954200?
Median gross rent is $1,517/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36111954200?
50.8% of residents in tract 36111954200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36111954200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 1th, minority 49th, housing 59th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36111954200 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36111954200 compare to Gardiner overall?
Tract 36111954200 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Gardiner at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardiner; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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