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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Graber Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Burlington

Tract 37001020802 · Alamance County, NC · pop 5,502 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

For landlords sizing up Graber Heights in Burlington, census tract 37001020802 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #42,992 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $832 a month while the average household earns $44,830 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 28% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,277
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$44,830

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Graber Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In Burlington
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 37 tracts In Alamance County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#363 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Centroid at 36.0792, -79.4276 · click any tract to drill in

Why Graber Heights scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burlington
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$832 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
3.0

How Graber Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Graber Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 020802Burlington: 2.82.8Burlingtonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,933Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 16.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.5%Peak (2015)
  • 259Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370010208022002: 207 filings (18.21/100 renter HHs)2003: 209 filings (18.38/100 renter HHs)2004: 219 filings (19.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 184 filings (14.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 168 filings (13.28/100 renter HHs)2007: 204 filings (16.12/100 renter HHs)2008: 214 filings (16.91/100 renter HHs)2009: 225 filings (17.78/100 renter HHs)2010: 198 filings (14.32/100 renter HHs)2011: 253 filings (15.42/100 renter HHs)2012: 252 filings (15.36/100 renter HHs)2013: 257 filings (15.66/100 renter HHs)2014: 253 filings (15.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 287 filings (17.49/100 renter HHs)2016: 261 filings (16.14/100 renter HHs)2017: 283 filings (17.50/100 renter HHs)2018: 259 filings (16.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Graber Heights

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alamance County average of 5.2 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37001020802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37001020802?

Census tract 37001020802 in the Graber Heights neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37001020802?

Median gross rent is $832/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37001020802?

22.5% of residents in tract 37001020802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,502.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37001020802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 91th, minority 82th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 37001020802 considered part of Graber Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37001020802 fall within Graber Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37001020802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,933 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 37001020802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.34% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37001020802 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37001020802 compare to Burlington overall?

Tract 37001020802 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burlington

Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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