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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Candler Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 37021002503 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 4,845 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 37021002503 reflects conditions in the Candler Heights area of Buncombe, North Carolina. On the national scale it ranks #46,044 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,075 monthly, set against $54,962 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$54,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Candler Heights
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#31 of 65 tracts In Buncombe County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1,333 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Moderate
National
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#46,312 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buncombe County and the region

Centroid at 35.5436, -82.7197 · click any tract to drill in

Why Candler Heights scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,075 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Candler Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Candler Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 002503County: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 342Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2007)
  • 27Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370210025032002: 20 filings (6.73/100 renter HHs)2003: 22 filings (7.40/100 renter HHs)2004: 32 filings (10.76/100 renter HHs)2005: 35 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2006: 33 filings (6.86/100 renter HHs)2007: 38 filings (7.90/100 renter HHs)2008: 30 filings (6.23/100 renter HHs)2009: 37 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2010: 34 filings (7.98/100 renter HHs)2011: 34 filings (6.68/100 renter HHs)2013: 27 filings (5.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Candler Heights

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by North Carolina eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Buncombe County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 342 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 7.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.9% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37021002503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021002503?

Census tract 37021002503 in the Candler Heights neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37021002503?

Median gross rent is $1,075/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37021002503?

12.8% of residents in tract 37021002503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,845.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37021002503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 71th, minority 22th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 37021002503 considered part of Candler Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37021002503 fall within Candler Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021002503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 342 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021002503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.35% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37021002503 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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