Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Candler Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37021002503 ·
Buncombe County, NC · pop 4,845 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
37021002503 is a census tract in the Candler Heights area of Buncombe County, NC. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,845 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.1/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 9%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$54,962
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Candler Heights
Moderate
Within county
61th percentile
#26 of 65 tracts In Buncombe County
Elevated
Within state
62th percentile
#1,007 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
National
47th percentile
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buncombe County and the region
Centroid at 35.5436, -82.7197 · click any tract to drill in
Why Candler Heights scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,075 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Candler Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
68%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
22%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
342Total filings over 11 yrs
7.35%Avg annual filing rate
7.9%Peak (2007)
27Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2002 to 2013
Filings climbed 35% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.9%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
10.9%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
10.5%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Candler Heights
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, local political climate reads 2.3/10.
Cost burden runs 52% here against 46.9% across Buncombe County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 342 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 7.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Buncombe County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,075 a month.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37021002503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021002503?
Census tract 37021002503 in the Candler Heights neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37021002503?
Median gross rent is $1,075/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37021002503?
12.8% of residents in tract 37021002503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,845.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37021002503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 71th, minority 22th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 37021002503 considered part of Candler Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37021002503 fall within Candler Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021002503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 342 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021002503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.35% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37021002503 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.