Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Spring Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greensboro
Tract 37081012604 · Guilford County, NC · pop 3,953 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
37081012604 is a census tract in the Spring Valley area of Greensboro, NC. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,953. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,543
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$44,734
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Greensboro and the region
Centroid at 36.0417, -79.8143 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Valley scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Greensboro
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$990 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greensboro
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greensboro
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greensboro
3.5
How Spring Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,007Total filings over 5 yrs
- 23.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.0%Peak (2005)
- 162Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.3%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.6%Food insecurity
- 31.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 18.1%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 44.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Valley
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Guilford County average of 44.7%.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally.
It sits 1.3 points above the Guilford County average of 4.0. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. At $990 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Greensboro commands.
Court records carry 1,007 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2005, when 28.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 24.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37081012604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081012604?
Census tract 37081012604 in the Spring Valley neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37081012604?
Median gross rent is $990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37081012604?
28.1% of residents in tract 37081012604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,953.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37081012604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 99th, minority 87th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 37081012604 considered part of Spring Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081012604 fall within Spring Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37081012604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,007 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 37081012604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.95% of renter households, peaking at 28.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37081012604 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37081012604 compare to Greensboro overall?
Tract 37081012604 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro
Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Park Grove
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Maybrook
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hope Valley
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37081010100
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Related