Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Erwin Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37085070500 · Harnett County, NC · pop 5,925 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Erwin
Tract 37085070500 sits in Erwin, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.3/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,359
Renter share28.1%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$50,979
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erwin and the region
Centroid at 35.3023, -78.6631 · click any tract to drill in
Why Erwin scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erwin
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.9
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,058 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erwin
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erwin
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erwin
6.6
How Erwin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 723Total filings over 17 yrs
- 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2014)
- 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.8%Food insecurity
- 15.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Erwin
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Harnett County average of 37.3%.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 723 filings here across 17 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 8.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Harnett County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,058, close to the Erwin average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37085070500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37085070500?
Census tract 37085070500 in Erwin scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37085070500?
Median gross rent is $1,058/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37085070500?
12.4% of residents in tract 37085070500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,925.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37085070500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 95th, minority 51th, housing 90th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37085070500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 723 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 37085070500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37085070500 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37085070500 compare to Erwin overall?
Tract 37085070500 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Erwin at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erwin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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