Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Bailey Springs Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Cornelius

Tract 37119006409 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 3,334 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 37119006409 in the Bailey Springs Neighborhood neighborhood of Cornelius ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,334 residents. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,423 monthly, set against $119,211 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 19% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,750

Renter share30.5%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate4.7%

Median income$119,211

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cornelius and the region

Centroid at 35.4710, -80.8363 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bailey Springs Neighborhood scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Cornelius

7.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

4.7% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$1,423 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Cornelius

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Cornelius

6.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Cornelius

4.5

How Bailey Springs Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

4%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
11%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.9%Housing insecurity
3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
5.2%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.5%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
11.8%Frequent mental distress
22.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bailey Springs Neighborhood

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cornelius eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mecklenburg County average of 5.5 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119006409

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119006409?

Census tract 37119006409 in the Bailey Springs Neighborhood neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37119006409?

Median gross rent is $1,423/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119006409?

4.7% of residents in tract 37119006409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,334.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119006409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 50th, minority 11th, housing 25th.

Is tract 37119006409 considered part of Bailey Springs Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119006409 fall within Bailey Springs Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37119006409 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37119006409 compare to Cornelius overall?

Tract 37119006409 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Cornelius at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cornelius eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cornelius

Top eight tracts in Cornelius ranked by composite eviction-risk score.