Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bailey Springs Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Cornelius
Tract 37119006409 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 3,334 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
37119006409 is a census tract in the Bailey Springs Neighborhood area of Cornelius, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,750
Renter share30.5%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$119,211
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cornelius and the region
Centroid at 35.4710, -80.8363 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bailey Springs Neighborhood scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cornelius
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,423 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cornelius
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cornelius
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cornelius
4.5
How Bailey Springs Neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 11.8%Frequent mental distress
- 22.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bailey Springs Neighborhood
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Mecklenburg County average of 45.3%.
Average gross rent is $1,423, 17% below the Cornelius average. Against the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $119,211, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37119006409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119006409?
Census tract 37119006409 in the Bailey Springs Neighborhood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37119006409?
Median gross rent is $1,423/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37119006409?
4.7% of residents in tract 37119006409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,334.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37119006409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 50th, minority 11th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 37119006409 considered part of Bailey Springs Neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119006409 fall within Bailey Springs Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37119006409 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37119006409 compare to Cornelius overall?
Tract 37119006409 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cornelius at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cornelius eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cornelius
Top eight tracts in Cornelius ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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