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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Joppa Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Hillsborough

Tract 37135010902 · Orange County, NC · pop 6,404 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 37135010902 covers Joppa Oaks in Hillsborough, home to 6,404 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,605 a month against an average household income of $76,298 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 13% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,628
Renter share19.5%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$76,298

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Joppa Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 42 tracts In Orange County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,837 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hillsborough and the region

Centroid at 36.0409, -79.0765 · click any tract to drill in

Why Joppa Oaks scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hillsborough
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,605 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hillsborough
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hillsborough
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hillsborough
5.8

How Joppa Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Joppa Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 010902Hillsborough: 2.82.8Hillsboroughparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 506Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 11.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.9%Peak (2008)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371350109022002: 40 filings (13.58/100 renter HHs)2003: 29 filings (9.84/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (8.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 33 filings (9.79/100 renter HHs)2006: 53 filings (15.72/100 renter HHs)2007: 48 filings (14.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 57 filings (16.91/100 renter HHs)2009: 49 filings (14.53/100 renter HHs)2010: 40 filings (10.93/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (9.22/100 renter HHs)2012: 46 filings (13.26/100 renter HHs)2013: 38 filings (10.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (4.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Joppa Oaks

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hillsborough, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 506 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 11.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.9% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135010902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135010902?

Census tract 37135010902 in the Joppa Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37135010902?

Median gross rent is $1,605/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135010902?

13.1% of residents in tract 37135010902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,404.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135010902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 55th, minority 53th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 37135010902 considered part of Joppa Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135010902 fall within Joppa Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37135010902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 506 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 37135010902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.69% of renter households, peaking at 16.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37135010902 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37135010902 compare to Hillsborough overall?

Tract 37135010902 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Hillsborough at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hillsborough; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hillsborough

Top eight tracts in Hillsborough ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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