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Map of Orange County, NC eviction risk by city, county average 4.5 out of 10
County brief·Updated July 25, 2026

Orange County, North Carolina Eviction Risk: Low

4 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Chapel Hill (3.4) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.

In 2026
Risk score
3.2
LOW

Ranked #2 of 100 NC counties

94k residents · 4 cities · 42 tracts

1976–2026 · pop-weighted from cities

Orange County eviction risk score history

Min1.7 Average2.5 Now3.2
10 5 1976 · score 2.7 1977 · score 2.7 1978 · score 2.6 1979 · score 2.7 1980 · score 2.8 1981 · score 2.7 1982 · score 2.8 1983 · score 2.7 1984 · score 2.5 1985 · score 2.0 1986 · score 2.0 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.7 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.8 1992 · score 2.2 1993 · score 2.1 1994 · score 2.1 1995 · score 2.2 1996 · score 2.1 1997 · score 2.1 1998 · score 2.0 1999 · score 2.1 2000 · score 2.0 2001 · score 2.1 2002 · score 2.1 2003 · score 2.1 2004 · score 2.0 2005 · score 2.1 2006 · score 2.1 2007 · score 2.1 2008 · score 2.6 2009 · score 2.9 2010 · score 2.9 2011 · score 3.0 2012 · score 2.9 2013 · score 2.8 2014 · score 2.7 2015 · score 2.7 2016 · score 2.8 2017 · score 2.8 2018 · score 2.8 2019 · score 2.9 2020 · score 3.7 2021 · score 3.9 2022 · score 3.1 2023 · score 3.1 2024 · score 3.1 2025 · score 3.2 2026 · score 3.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Orange County averages 4.5/10 (Low) across its 4 cities, ranging from a low of 4/10 to a high of 5.5/10 in Carrboro, the county's riskiest city. Ranked 49th out of 100 North Carolina counties by eviction risk.

How Orange County ranks in North Carolina

Lower number means more extreme, where #1 is the most
Eviction Risk Score
Very High
#2 of 100 NC counties 3.2 / 10
Eviction Risk Score, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 100 counties in North Carolina for landlord eviction risk.
Cost of living
Moderate
#31 of 51 states (statewide) 94.3 index
Cost of living, 40th percentileLowHigh
North Carolina ranks #31 of 51 states on overall cost of living (5.7% cheaper than the U.S. avg).
Housing services cost
Moderate
#30 of 51 states (statewide) 81.4 index
Housing services cost, 42nd percentileLowHigh
North Carolina ranks #30 of 51 states on housing services (18.6% cheaper than the U.S. avg).
Income spent on rent
Very High
#3 of 100 NC counties 41.7% of income
Income spent on rent, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 100 counties in North Carolina on % of income spent on rent.

Landlord guides for North Carolina

State-specific playbooks
North Carolina Eviction Costs →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
North Carolina Eviction Process →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
North Carolina Rent Control →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
North Carolina Tenant Screening →
Five-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
North Carolina Tenant Protections →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry
Cities in Orange County
Sorted by Eviction Risk Score · highest first
Map view
CityPopulationRisk% income on rentAverage rentLean
001 Chapel Hill Pop 61,607 · 36.0% income · $1,613 rent · Dem 61,607 3.4 36.0% $1,613 Dem
002 Carrboro Pop 21,204 · 33.7% income · $1,470 rent · Dem 21,204 2.7 33.7% $1,470 Dem
003 Hillsborough Pop 9,724 · 30.9% income · $1,368 rent · Dem 9,724 2.8 30.9% $1,368 Dem
004 Efland Pop 1,611 · 66.0% income · $859 rent · Dem 1,611 2.2 66.0% $859 Dem

County heatmap

Geographic distribution
Local landlord context

One county, multiple regulatory regimes.

Orange County, North Carolina eviction laws carries a county-average eviction-risk score of 3.2/10 (Low), placing it 41st of 100 North Carolina counties. That rank means 40 counties are riskier and 59 are more landlord-friendly, so the county sits squarely in the middle third of the state. With 51.1% of households renting and an average rent of $1,543, demand for rentals is real, but so is the financial pressure on tenants: average rent burden runs 35.5% of income, which elevates the likelihood that a cash-flow disruption turns into a late payment.

The county-wide average, however, obscures a meaningful spread. Scores across the 4 tracked cities range from 2.2 to 3.4, a 1.5-point gap that translates to materially different operating environments depending on exactly where a property sits. Investors evaluating Orange County should treat neighborhood-level risk as at least as important as the county headline.

The cities inside Orange County

Chapel Hill carries the highest risk in the county at 3.4/10, with a population of 21,204. Its score reflects a combination of tenant-demographic and housing-market factors that put landlords at greater exposure when a tenancy sours. Hillsborough is close behind at 2.8/10 (population 9,724). Both cities sit well above the county average and warrant more conservative screening standards and tighter lease documentation than a landlord might apply elsewhere.

Chapel Hill, the county's largest city at 61,607 residents, is the most landlord-favorable market in Orange County at 4.1/10. Efland, a smaller community of 1,611, scores 2.2/10, also below the county average. The lesson is straightforward: risk in Orange County is hyper-local. A portfolio split between Chapel Hill and Carrboro is operating in two meaningfully different risk environments, even though both addresses carry the same county zip prefix.

State-level laws that apply here

Every landlord in Orange County operates under North Carolina eviction laws state law, specifically N.C.G.S. § 42 (Landlord and Tenant). For nonpayment of rent, the required notice period is 10 days under N.C. Gen. Stat. § 42-3. A material lease breach or a holdover after the lease ends requires no advance notice before filing; a month-to-month tenancy requires only a 7-day notice to terminate under N.C. Gen. Stat. § 42-14. The North Carolina eviction laws eviction process, once filed, runs 21 to 45 days for an uncontested case and 45 to 100 days for a contested one. Total out-of-pocket costs depend on how the case proceeds: court filing fees run $150 to $200, the sheriff lockout fee adds $30 to $125, and attorney fees, if you retain counsel, typically range from $500 to $2,500. Understanding North Carolina eviction costs before a vacancy arises is the best way to build accurate underwriting assumptions.

North Carolina eviction laws does not require just cause to terminate a tenancy, and state law preempts any local rent control ordinance, so no city in Orange County can impose a rent cap independently. Source of income is not a protected class under state fair-housing law, though federal protections still apply. There are no statewide security deposit caps mentioned here; for the current rules, review North Carolina security deposit limits through the state guide.

With a poverty rate of 16.3% and more than half of all households renting, Orange County's risk profile is driven as much by tenant financial fragility as by any single policy factor; the city-by-city grid above shows where that pressure is most and least concentrated.

Eviction filings in Orange County

In June 2023, 114 eviction filings were recorded in Orange County, 120.6% of the historical average (above average).1

Last 24 months of filings 2021-07 – 2023-06
Monthly eviction filings in Orange County (LSC CCDI)2021-07: 26 filings (25.7% of avg)2021-08: 32 filings (32.9% of avg)2021-09: 42 filings (47.0% of avg)2021-10: 28 filings (30.7% of avg)2021-11: 43 filings (57.3% of avg)2021-12: 46 filings (52.6% of avg)2022-01: 49 filings (51.4% of avg)2022-02: 73 filings (86.1% of avg)2022-03: 50 filings (70.4% of avg)2022-04: 46 filings (58.2% of avg)2022-05: 93 filings (112.7% of avg)2022-06: 93 filings (98.4% of avg)2022-07: 85 filings (84.2% of avg)2022-08: 90 filings (92.4% of avg)2022-09: 55 filings (61.5% of avg)2022-10: 72 filings (79.0% of avg)2022-11: 53 filings (70.7% of avg)2022-12: 66 filings (75.5% of avg)2023-01: 100 filings (105.0% of avg)2023-02: 102 filings (120.4% of avg)2023-03: 90 filings (126.8% of avg)2023-04: 138 filings (174.7% of avg)2023-05: 123 filings (149.1% of avg)2023-06: 114 filings (120.6% of avg)

Historical eviction filings in Orange County

From 2000 to 2018, eviction filings in Orange County increased 14%. The peak was 1,541 filings in 2007.2

Annual filings 2000–2018 No filing data published after 2018
Annual eviction filings in Orange County 2000-2018 (Eviction Lab)2000: 970 filings2001: 1,125 filings2002: 1,135 filings2003: 1,227 filings2004: 1,328 filings2005: 1,424 filings2006: 1,328 filings2007: 1,541 filings2008: 1,444 filings2009: 1,337 filings2010: 1,264 filings2011: 1,148 filings2012: 1,178 filings2013: 1,150 filings2014: 1,094 filings2015: 930 filings2016: 1,015 filings2017: 1,082 filings2018: 1,105 filings

Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.

How Orange County compares

Orange County's 4.5/10 eviction-risk score sits within a tight band of North Carolina eviction laws's middle-tier counties. Its closest peers, Brunswick County (4.54/10), Henderson County (4.55/10), Davidson County (4.52/10), Nash County (4.42/10), and Catawba County (4.33/10), all cluster within 0.22 points, confirming that Orange County is neither a standout high-risk nor a standout low-risk market in the state.

Within North Carolina's 100 counties, Orange County ranks 49th, meaning the majority of the state's counties present comparable or greater landlord risk. Investors comparing Orange County to the broader state should weigh the county's above-average renter share of 51.1% and average rent of $1,543 alongside its mid-table risk position.

Peer counties in North Carolina

Same state, closest by population and Eviction Risk Score
Peer county
Buncombe County eviction risk
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 137K
Peer county
Pitt County eviction risk
3
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 120K
Peer county
Nash County eviction risk
3
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 67.9K
Peer county
Onslow County eviction risk
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 111K

Where eviction risk concentrates in Orange County

Top cities + top neighborhoods · click any card for the full breakdown

Top cities by population

Top neighborhoods by risk

Frequently asked

Frequently asked questions about Orange County

Q1

What does the 3.2/10 county-average mean?

The 3.2/10 county-average is a population-weighted mean of 4 municipal landlord-risk scores. The internal range is 2.2 to 3.4.
Q2

What share of Orange County households rent?

About 51.1% of occupied units in Orange County are renter-occupied, per ACS 2023 5-year data.