Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Flat Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37171930201 · Surry County, NC · pop 3,217 · 50% of tract blocks fall in Flat Rock
Tract 37171930201 sits in Flat Rock, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 3,217. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate32.1%
Median income$37,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flat Rock and the region
Centroid at 36.5382, -80.5339 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flat Rock scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Flat Rock
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
32.1% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$683 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flat Rock
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flat Rock
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flat Rock
4.5
How Flat Rock compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 496Total filings over 18 yrs
- 9.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.2%Peak (2002)
- 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 91% over the past 18 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.3%Food insecurity
- 23.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 15.9%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 46.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flat Rock
At $683 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Flat Rock commands. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The main counterweight is tenant-organizing strength at 2/10.
43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Surry County average of 33.7%. On the high side, economic stress reads 8/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 23.9% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 496 filings here across 18 tracked years.
Food insecurity runs 25.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Surry County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 33.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37171930201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37171930201?
Census tract 37171930201 in Flat Rock scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37171930201?
Median gross rent is $683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37171930201?
32.1% of residents in tract 37171930201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,217.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37171930201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 61th, minority 46th, housing 56th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37171930201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 496 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 37171930201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.88% of renter households, peaking at 33.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37171930201 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37171930201 compare to Flat Rock overall?
Tract 37171930201 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Flat Rock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flat Rock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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