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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Mount Airy Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 37171930302 · Surry County, NC · pop 3,477 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 37171930302 sits in the Mount Airy Historic District area of Mount Airy, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 3,477 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 24% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,559
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$66,696

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Mount Airy Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Mount Airy
Very Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 23 tracts In Surry County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1,333 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Airy and the region

Centroid at 36.5139, -80.6058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mount Airy Historic District scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mount Airy
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mount Airy
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mount Airy
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mount Airy
7.3

How Mount Airy Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mount Airy Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 930302Mount Airy: 4.04.0Mount Airyparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,120Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.9%Peak (2002)
  • 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371719303022001: 87 filings (16.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 145 filings (26.89/100 renter HHs)2003: 98 filings (18.18/100 renter HHs)2004: 79 filings (14.65/100 renter HHs)2005: 81 filings (13.39/100 renter HHs)2006: 60 filings (9.92/100 renter HHs)2007: 77 filings (12.73/100 renter HHs)2008: 69 filings (11.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 43 filings (7.11/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (4.64/100 renter HHs)2011: 43 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2012: 41 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2013: 49 filings (6.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 50 filings (6.61/100 renter HHs)2015: 45 filings (5.94/100 renter HHs)2016: 56 filings (6.87/100 renter HHs)2017: 39 filings (4.79/100 renter HHs)2018: 25 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 71% over the past 18 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mount Airy Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mount Airy Historic District

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 1,120 eviction filings across 18 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 26.9% of renter households. At $790 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Mount Airy commands.

In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $66,696, annual rent is just 14%.

35% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37171930302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37171930302?

Census tract 37171930302 in the Mount Airy Historic District neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37171930302?

Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37171930302?

16.3% of residents in tract 37171930302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,477.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37171930302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 71th, minority 31th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 37171930302 considered part of Mount Airy Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37171930302 fall within Mount Airy Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37171930302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,120 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 37171930302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 26.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37171930302 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37171930302 compare to Mount Airy overall?

Tract 37171930302 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Mount Airy at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Airy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mount Airy

Top eight tracts in Mount Airy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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