Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Orwell Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39007001402 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 4,934 · 12% of tract blocks fall in Orwell
Census tract 39007001402 sits in Orwell in Ashtabula County, Ohio eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $799 a month against an average household income of $51,190 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,013
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$51,190
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orwell and the region
Centroid at 41.5514, -80.7986 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orwell scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orwell
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$799 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orwell
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orwell
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orwell
7.3
How Orwell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 3%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.3%Food insecurity
- 17.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orwell
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orwell, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39007001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007001402?
Census tract 39007001402 in Orwell scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39007001402?
Median gross rent is $799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39007001402?
16.5% of residents in tract 39007001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,934.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39007001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 30th, minority 3th, housing 88th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 39007001402 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 39007001402 compare to Orwell overall?
Tract 39007001402 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Orwell at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orwell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orwell
Top eight tracts in Orwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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