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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Boggs Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellaire

Tract 39013011700 · Belmont County, OH · pop 1,216 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

39013011700 is a census tract in the Boggs Run area of Bellaire, OH. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,216. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 30% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units488
Renter share60.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate44.3%
Median income$35,238

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Boggs Run
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Bellaire
Very Low
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 22 tracts In Belmont County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellaire and the region

Centroid at 40.0315, -80.7381 · click any tract to drill in

Why Boggs Run scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellaire
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
44.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$855 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellaire
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellaire
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellaire
8.5

How Boggs Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Boggs Run risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 011700Bellaire: 4.54.5Bellaireparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Boggs Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Boggs Run

The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Belmont County average of 37.6%. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

Against the Belmont County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 29.3% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally.

At $855 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Bellaire commands. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39013011700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39013011700?

Census tract 39013011700 in the Boggs Run neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39013011700?

Median gross rent is $855/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39013011700?

44.3% of residents in tract 39013011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,216.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39013011700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 40th, minority 44th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 39013011700 considered part of Boggs Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39013011700 fall within Boggs Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39013011700 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39013011700 compare to Bellaire overall?

Tract 39013011700 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bellaire at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellaire; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellaire

Top eight tracts in Bellaire ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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