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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Little Arabia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cleveland

Tract 39035102102 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,975 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is Little Arabia in Cleveland for landlords? Census tract 39035102102 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $884 a month while the average household earns $44,214 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 35% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,192
Renter share58.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$44,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Little Arabia
Moderate
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#109 of 159 tracts In Cleveland
Low
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#485 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.4518, -81.7641 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Arabia scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$884 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0

How Little Arabia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Arabia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 102102Cleveland: 3.73.7Clevelandparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,084Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 16.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.9%Peak (2006)
  • 67Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351021022004: 81 filings (17.42/100 renter HHs)2005: 96 filings (16.38/100 renter HHs)2006: 111 filings (18.94/100 renter HHs)2007: 102 filings (17.41/100 renter HHs)2008: 101 filings (17.24/100 renter HHs)2009: 93 filings (15.87/100 renter HHs)2010: 89 filings (17.21/100 renter HHs)2011: 84 filings (15.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 76 filings (14.10/100 renter HHs)2013: 91 filings (16.88/100 renter HHs)2015: 93 filings (17.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 67 filings (11.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 12 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 281Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 7 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-07-01: 8 filings (1.23× baseline)2020-08-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-09-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-01-01: 8 filings (1.52× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.52× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-07-01: 8 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-09-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (0.52× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-04-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.46× baseline)2023-07-01: 9 filings (1.38× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-09-01: 15 filings (2.73× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.38× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (0.39× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-06-01: 9 filings (1.03× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2024-12-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-02-01: 8 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Arabia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Arabia

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 28% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035102102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035102102?

Census tract 39035102102 in the Little Arabia neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035102102?

Median gross rent is $884/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035102102?

22.0% of residents in tract 39035102102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,975.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035102102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 94th, minority 74th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 39035102102 considered part of Little Arabia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035102102 fall within Little Arabia (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035102102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,084 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035102102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.31% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39035102102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39035102102 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39035102102 compare to Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035102102 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 39035102102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland

Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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