Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Little Arabia Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cleveland
Tract 39035102102 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,975 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
39035102102 is a census tract in the Little Arabia area of Cleveland, OH. It scores 6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,192
Renter share58.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$44,214
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cleveland and the region
Centroid at 41.4518, -81.7641 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Arabia scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$884 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0
How Little Arabia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 72%Grade C
- 28%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,084Total filings over 12 yrs
- 16.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.9%Peak (2006)
- 67Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 12 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 281Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Arabia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.3%Housing insecurity
- 18.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.1%Food insecurity
- 30.6%SNAP enrollment
- 16.1%Transit barriers
- 18.0%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Arabia
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 33.1% against 17.8% nationally.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The filing record is not thin: 1,084 evictions over 12 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 18.9% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 16.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035102102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035102102?
Census tract 39035102102 in the Little Arabia neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035102102?
Median gross rent is $884/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035102102?
22.0% of residents in tract 39035102102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,975.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035102102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 94th, minority 74th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 39035102102 considered part of Little Arabia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035102102 fall within Little Arabia (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035102102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,084 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035102102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.31% of renter households, peaking at 18.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39035102102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39035102102 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39035102102 compare to Cleveland overall?
Tract 39035102102 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39035102102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland
Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Clark-Fulton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Buckeye-Shaker
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Goodrich-Kirtland Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Miles Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Kinsman
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Riverside Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wakefield
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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