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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,303 of 84,120 nationally

Karlin Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cleveland

Tract 39035115400 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,315 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Here is how census tract 39035115400, in Karlin in Cleveland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,315. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $972 a month while the average household earns $37,846 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 30% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units913
Renter share70.1%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$37,846

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 3 tracts In Karlin
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileBottomTop
#15 of 159 tracts In Cleveland
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileBottomTop
#45 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileBottomTop
#66 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.4518, -81.6438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Karlin scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$972 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0

How Karlin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Karlin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 115400Cleveland: 5.55.5Clevelandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 1,106Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 14.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.0%Peak (2011)
  • 62Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351154002004: 84 filings (12.69/100 renter HHs)2005: 83 filings (11.25/100 renter HHs)2006: 103 filings (13.96/100 renter HHs)2007: 102 filings (13.82/100 renter HHs)2008: 81 filings (10.98/100 renter HHs)2009: 89 filings (12.06/100 renter HHs)2010: 92 filings (13.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 116 filings (21.97/100 renter HHs)2012: 116 filings (21.97/100 renter HHs)2013: 109 filings (20.64/100 renter HHs)2015: 69 filings (13.07/100 renter HHs)2016: 62 filings (11.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 12 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 284Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (0.59× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2020-08-01: 10 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-12-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.34× baseline)2021-09-01: 6 filings (0.69× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2022-03-01: 10 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (0.46× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.46× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-11-01: 9 filings (1.38× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-06-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (0.69× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-12-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (0.74× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.30× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (0.46× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (0.46× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Karlin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Karlin

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035115400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035115400?

Census tract 39035115400 in the Karlin neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035115400?

Median gross rent is $972/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035115400?

36.0% of residents in tract 39035115400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,315.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035115400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 92th, minority 74th, housing 76th.

Q5

Is tract 39035115400 considered part of Karlin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035115400 fall within Karlin (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035115400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,106 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035115400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.78% of renter households, peaking at 22.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39035115400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 39035115400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 39035115400 compare to Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035115400 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Cleveland at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 39035115400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland

Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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