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Census Tract · Ranked #51,033 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39035130104 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 4,549

Here is how census tract 39035130104, in Bay Village, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,549. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 89% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,365 a month against an average household income of $147,024 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 0% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,530
Renter share3.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$147,024

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 4 tracts In Bay Village
Very High
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileBottomTop
#408 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Very Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileBottomTop
#2,079 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileBottomTop
#51,033 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Village and the region

Centroid at 41.4897, -81.9374 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Village scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Village
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,365 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Village
1.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Village
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Village
2.9

How Bay Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 130104Bay Village: 3.83.8Bay Villageparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 40Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2013)
  • 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351301042004: 3 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)2009: 2 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 6 filings (7.32/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (4.88/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Village

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay Village, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035130104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035130104?

Census tract 39035130104 in Bay Village scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035130104?

Median gross rent is $1,365/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 89% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035130104?

1.8% of residents in tract 39035130104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,549.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035130104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 18th, minority 3th, housing 6th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035130104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 39035130104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.48% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 39035130104 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 39035130104 compare to Bay Village overall?

Tract 39035130104 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Bay Village at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q8

Was tract 39035130104 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bay Village

Top eight tracts in Bay Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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