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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,080 of 84,120 nationally

Warszawa Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cleveland

Tract 39035197900 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,587 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Warszawa Historic District in Cleveland anchors census tract 39035197900, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #19,368 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $671 monthly, set against $35,268 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 41% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units647
Renter share63.2%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate38.9%
Median income$35,268

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 3 tracts In Warszawa Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileBottomTop
#71 of 159 tracts In Cleveland
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileBottomTop
#154 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileBottomTop
#334 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.4742, -81.6570 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warszawa Historic District scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
38.9% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$671 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0

How Warszawa Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Warszawa Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 197900Cleveland: 5.55.5Clevelandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 143Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (1.05× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Warszawa Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warszawa Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 69% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035197900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035197900?

Census tract 39035197900 in the Warszawa Historic District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035197900?

Median gross rent is $671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035197900?

38.9% of residents in tract 39035197900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,587.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035197900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 83th, minority 69th, housing 70th.

Q5

Is tract 39035197900 considered part of Warszawa Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035197900 fall within Warszawa Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 39035197900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

Q7

What share of households in tract 39035197900 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 39035197900 compare to Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035197900 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Cleveland at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 39035197900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 69% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland

Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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