Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Carmenton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049001122 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,471 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 39049001122 covers part of the Carmenton area of Columbus, OH, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units473
Renter share68.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$46,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 40.0078, -83.0328 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carmenton scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Carmenton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 76Total filings over 12 yrs
- 1.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2011)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 77Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 26.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carmenton
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Franklin County average of 41.6%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $46,563, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Franklin County average of 4.4. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 76 filings here across 12 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049001122
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049001122?
Census tract 39049001122 in the Carmenton neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049001122?
Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049001122?
33.8% of residents in tract 39049001122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,471.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049001122?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 2th, minority 61th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 39049001122 considered part of Carmenton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049001122 fall within Carmenton (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049001122?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 76 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39049001122 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.43% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049001122 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049001122 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049001122 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049001122 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049001122 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
North Linden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South-of-Main
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Arlington Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Indianola Terrace
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
University View
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Idlewood Manor
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
North Bexley Area
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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