Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Southern Orchards Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049005610 · Franklin County, OH · pop 1,757 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 39049005610 covers Southern Orchards in Columbus in Ohio. Home to 1,757 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,147 monthly, set against $68,099 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units765
Renter share54.4%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$68,099
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 39.9474, -82.9781 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southern Orchards scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Southern Orchards compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 74%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 954Total filings over 13 yrs
- 16.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.0%Peak (2003)
- 81Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 230Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.6%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southern Orchards
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Franklin County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 954 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 16.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.0% of renter households in 2003.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049005610
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049005610?
Census tract 39049005610 in the Southern Orchards neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049005610?
Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049005610?
10.2% of residents in tract 39049005610 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,757.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049005610?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 4th, minority 68th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 39049005610 considered part of Southern Orchards?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049005610 fall within Southern Orchards (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049005610?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 954 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049005610 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.14% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049005610 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049005610 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049005610 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049005610 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39049005610 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Campus
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Weinland Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Peach District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Holly Hill
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Sawyer Manor
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northwood Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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