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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Southern Orchards Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus

Tract 39049005610 · Franklin County, OH · pop 1,757 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

39049005610 is a census tract in the Southern Orchards area of Columbus, OH. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,757. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 28% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units765
Renter share54.4%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$68,099

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Southern Orchards
Moderate
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#163 of 238 tracts In Columbus
Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#176 of 328 tracts In Franklin County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#1,370 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbus and the region

Centroid at 39.9474, -82.9781 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southern Orchards scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0

How Southern Orchards compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southern Orchards risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0056104.3Columbusparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 954Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 16.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.0%Peak (2003)
  • 81Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39049005610
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 230Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southern Orchards

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Franklin County average of 41.6%.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 954 evictions over 13 years of observation. At $1,147 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Columbus commands.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 18.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Columbus. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 16.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Franklin County average of 4.4 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049005610

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049005610?

Census tract 39049005610 in the Southern Orchards neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39049005610?

Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049005610?

10.2% of residents in tract 39049005610 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,757.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049005610?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 4th, minority 68th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 39049005610 considered part of Southern Orchards?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049005610 fall within Southern Orchards (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049005610?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 954 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049005610 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.14% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39049005610 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39049005610 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39049005610 compare to Columbus overall?

Tract 39049005610 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 39049005610 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbus

Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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