Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Burlington
Tract 39087051102 ·
Lawrence County, OH · pop 2,942 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39087051102 (Walnut Park in Burlington, Ohio) comes in at 4.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 13% of US census tracts.
About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $666 a month against an average household income of $38,380 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 44%Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,276
Renter share58.2%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$38,380
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Walnut Park
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Burlington
Moderate
Within county
24th percentile
#14 of 18 tracts In Lawrence County
Low
Within state
52th percentile
#1,513 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burlington and the region
Centroid at 38.4115, -82.5262 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burlington
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$666 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
4.8
How Walnut Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
38%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.2%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
16.4%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
39.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lawrence County average of 4.6 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39087051102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39087051102?
Census tract 39087051102 in the Walnut Park neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39087051102?
Median gross rent is $666/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39087051102?
10.2% of residents in tract 39087051102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,942.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39087051102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 84th, minority 29th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 39087051102 considered part of Walnut Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39087051102 fall within Walnut Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39087051102 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39087051102 compare to Burlington overall?
Tract 39087051102 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.