Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Breeze Eviction Risk: Lower , Sheffield Lake
Tract 39093021200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,569 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 39093021200 belongs to Lake Breeze in Sheffield Lake, Ohio. It is home to 5,569 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,098 monthly, set against $60,942 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,612
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$60,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sheffield Lake and the region
Centroid at 41.4875, -82.1116 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Breeze scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,098 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sheffield Lake
4.5
How Lake Breeze compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 414Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.1%Peak (2004)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Breeze
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sheffield Lake, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lorain County average of 5.3 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093021200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093021200?
Census tract 39093021200 in the Lake Breeze neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093021200?
Median gross rent is $1,098/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093021200?
12.3% of residents in tract 39093021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,569.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093021200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 51th, minority 14th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 39093021200 considered part of Lake Breeze?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093021200 fall within Lake Breeze (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093021200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 414 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093021200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.84% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093021200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093021200 compare to Sheffield Lake overall?
Tract 39093021200 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Sheffield Lake at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sheffield Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39093021200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sheffield Lake
Top eight tracts in Sheffield Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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