Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Castlo Eviction Risk: Moderate , Struthers
Tract 39099810800 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,289 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 39099810800 belongs to the Castlo area of Struthers, Ohio. It is home to 2,289 residents and scores $1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $907 monthly, set against $52,051 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share35.4%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$52,051
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Struthers and the region
Centroid at 41.0526, -80.5829 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castlo scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Struthers
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$907 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Struthers
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Struthers
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Struthers
6.4
How Castlo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 38%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2013)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.6%Food insecurity
- 16.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 34.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castlo
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Struthers, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 38% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099810800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099810800?
Census tract 39099810800 in the Castlo neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099810800?
Median gross rent is $907/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099810800?
24.5% of residents in tract 39099810800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,289.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099810800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 54th, minority 30th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 39099810800 considered part of Castlo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099810800 fall within Castlo (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099810800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099810800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.02% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099810800 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099810800 compare to Struthers overall?
Tract 39099810800 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Struthers at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Struthers; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099810800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 38% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Struthers
Top eight tracts in Struthers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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