Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Rosewood Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39099811500 ·
Mahoning County, OH · pop 5,559 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 39099811500 sits in the Rosewood area of Mahoning County, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Against Mahoning County at 42.6%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 11%Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,626
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$78,431
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Rosewood
Moderate
Within county
4th percentile
#72 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Very Low
Within state
31th percentile
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mahoning County and the region
Centroid at 41.0355, -80.6980 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rosewood scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,049 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Rosewood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
15%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
9%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
5%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
102Total filings over 7 yrs
2.79%Avg annual filing rate
3.5%Peak (2013)
15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2016
Filings climbed 25% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.7%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
9.1%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rosewood
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.7/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Mahoning County average of 4.5.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 18.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 2.4/10. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 102 evictions over 7 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 3.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099811500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811500?
Census tract 39099811500 in the Rosewood neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099811500?
Median gross rent is $1,049/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811500?
11.4% of residents in tract 39099811500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,559.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 7th, minority 9th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 39099811500 considered part of Rosewood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811500 fall within Rosewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099811500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 102 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099811500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.79% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099811500 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
Was tract 39099811500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.