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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Maple Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39099811700 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,377 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39099811700 (Maple Grove in Mahoning, Ohio) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #40,120 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $771 a month against an average household income of $63,992 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 14% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,149
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$63,992

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Maple Grove
Very Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Low
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,379 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,543 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mahoning County and the region

Centroid at 41.0355, -80.6655 · click any tract to drill in

Why Maple Grove scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$771 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Maple Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Maple Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 811700County: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 133Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak (2011)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390998117002009: 14 filings (5.19/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (3.31/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (8.80/100 renter HHs)2013: 17 filings (5.99/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (5.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Maple Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Maple Grove

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Ohio eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 133 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 6.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.9% of renter households in 2011.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099811700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811700?

Census tract 39099811700 in the Maple Grove neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099811700?

Median gross rent is $771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811700?

16.0% of residents in tract 39099811700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,377.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 68th, minority 34th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 39099811700 considered part of Maple Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811700 fall within Maple Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099811700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 133 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099811700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.47% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099811700 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

Was tract 39099811700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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