Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Maple Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39099811800 ·
Mahoning County, OH · pop 1,821 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 39099811800 covers the Maple Grove neighborhood of Mahoning in Ohio. Home to 1,821 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,004 monthly, set against $60,378 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%Stable renters 18%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units671
Renter share30.8%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$60,378
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Maple Grove
Very High
Within county
50th percentile
#38 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Moderate
Within state
68th percentile
#1,022 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
59th percentile
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mahoning County and the region
Centroid at 41.0346, -80.6599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maple Grove scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,004 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Maple Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
54%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
4%Grade A
55%Grade B
41%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
71Total filings over 7 yrs
5.98%Avg annual filing rate
12.2%Peak (2014)
13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2016
Filings climbed 117% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maple Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.4%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
19.2%Food insecurity
18.1%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
19.8%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maple Grove
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Ohio eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099811800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811800?
Census tract 39099811800 in the Maple Grove neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099811800?
Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811800?
23.8% of residents in tract 39099811800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,821.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 20th, minority 25th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 39099811800 considered part of Maple Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811800 fall within Maple Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099811800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099811800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.98% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099811800 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
Was tract 39099811800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.