Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Grafton Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Brunswick
Tract 39103415802 ·
Medina County, OH · pop 1,870 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 39103415802 covers part of the Grafton Hills area of Brunswick, OH, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 3%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units899
Renter share3.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$77,054
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In Grafton Hills
Low
Within parent city
44th percentile
#6 of 10 tracts In Brunswick
Moderate
Within county
59th percentile
#18 of 42 tracts In Medina County
Elevated
Within state
48th percentile
#1,637 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brunswick and the region
Centroid at 41.2682, -81.8588 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grafton Hills scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brunswick
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brunswick
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brunswick
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brunswick
4.7
How Grafton Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
33%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grafton Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.8%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
7.1%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grafton Hills
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Medina County average of 3.8 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39103415802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39103415802?
Census tract 39103415802 in the Grafton Hills neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 39103415802?
5.8% of residents in tract 39103415802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,870.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 39103415802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 53th, minority 42th, housing 4th.
Q4
Is tract 39103415802 considered part of Grafton Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39103415802 fall within Grafton Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 39103415802 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 39103415802 compare to Brunswick overall?
Tract 39103415802 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Brunswick at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brunswick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brunswick
Top eight tracts in Brunswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.