Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Vandalia Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39113110202 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,136 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Vandalia
Census tract 39113110202 covers Vandalia, home to 3,136 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $997 monthly, set against $66,447 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,464
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$66,447
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vandalia and the region
Centroid at 39.8468, -84.1911 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vandalia scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vandalia
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$997 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vandalia
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vandalia
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vandalia
3.7
How Vandalia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 529Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2012)
- 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.6%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vandalia
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Vandalia, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113110202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113110202?
Census tract 39113110202 in Vandalia scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113110202?
Median gross rent is $997/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113110202?
14.6% of residents in tract 39113110202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,136.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113110202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 92th, minority 27th, housing 63th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113110202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 529 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113110202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.69% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113110202 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113110202 compare to Vandalia overall?
Tract 39113110202 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Vandalia at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vandalia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vandalia
Top eight tracts in Vandalia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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