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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Vandalia Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39113115002 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,304 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Vandalia

39113115002 is a census tract in Vandalia, OH. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,304. Cost burden runs 29% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 21% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,763
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$71,802

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Vandalia
Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#102 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#2,053 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vandalia and the region

Centroid at 39.8937, -84.1758 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vandalia scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vandalia
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$984 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vandalia
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vandalia
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vandalia
3.7

How Vandalia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vandalia risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 1150023.7Vandaliaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 301Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak (2013)
  • 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113115002
Filings dropped 43% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vandalia

Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.2.

The filing record is not thin: 301 evictions over 17 years of observation. At $984 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Vandalia commands. The worst year on record was 2013, when 8.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $71,802, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113115002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113115002?

Census tract 39113115002 in Vandalia scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113115002?

Median gross rent is $984/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113115002?

10.2% of residents in tract 39113115002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,304.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113115002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 61th, minority 20th, housing 20th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113115002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 301 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113115002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.83% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113115002 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113115002 compare to Vandalia overall?

Tract 39113115002 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Vandalia at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vandalia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vandalia

Top eight tracts in Vandalia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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