Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Duncan Falls Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39119912600 · Muskingum County, OH · pop 3,702 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Duncan Falls
Here is how census tract 39119912600, in Duncan Falls, looks to a landlord: a 4.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,702. That is riskier than about 18% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $837 monthly, set against $72,455 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,442
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$72,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Duncan Falls and the region
Centroid at 39.8392, -81.7883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duncan Falls scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Duncan Falls
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$837 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Duncan Falls
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Duncan Falls
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Duncan Falls
3.7
How Duncan Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 0%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 9 yrs
- 1.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2018)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duncan Falls
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Duncan Falls, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Muskingum County average of 5.2 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39119912600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39119912600?
Census tract 39119912600 in Duncan Falls scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39119912600?
Median gross rent is $837/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39119912600?
9.5% of residents in tract 39119912600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,702.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39119912600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 40th, minority 0th, housing 15th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39119912600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 39119912600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.68% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39119912600 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39119912600 compare to Duncan Falls overall?
Tract 39119912600 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Duncan Falls at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duncan Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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