Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Canton Arts District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39151701300 · Stark County, OH · pop 3,760 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 39151701300 covers the Downtown Canton Arts District neighborhood of Canton, home to 3,760 residents. For landlords it grades 6.2/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $872 a month against an average household income of $37,078 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,413
Renter share60.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$37,078
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Canton and the region
Centroid at 40.7920, -81.4043 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Canton Arts District scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Canton
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Canton
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Canton
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Canton
7.7
How Downtown Canton Arts District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 68%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,245Total filings over 15 yrs
- 10.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2012)
- 86Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Canton Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.0%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.2%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.7%Transit barriers
- 13.2%No health insurance
- 24.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Canton Arts District
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Canton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stark County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39151701300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39151701300?
Census tract 39151701300 in the Downtown Canton Arts District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39151701300?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39151701300?
29.0% of residents in tract 39151701300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,760.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39151701300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 47th, minority 45th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 39151701300 considered part of Downtown Canton Arts District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39151701300 fall within Downtown Canton Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39151701300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,245 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39151701300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.38% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39151701300 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39151701300 compare to Canton overall?
Tract 39151701300 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Canton at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39151701300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Canton
Top eight tracts in Canton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown Canton Arts District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
The Boulevards
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
West Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
West Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
The Boulevards
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Upper Downtown Canton Historic District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39151702500
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
The Boulevards
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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